Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000690 0.000790 0.000897 0.001018 0.001152 0.001295 0.001458
2025-02-16 0.000524 0.000661 0.000817 0.001007 0.001229 0.001480 0.001782
2025-02-23 0.000444 0.000599 0.000783 0.001016 0.001300 0.001632 0.002045
2025-03-02 0.000384 0.000548 0.000754 0.001023 0.001363 0.001771 0.002292
2025-03-09 0.000322 0.000488 0.000703 0.000995 0.001374 0.001843 0.002455
2025-03-16 0.000272 0.000436 0.000656 0.000966 0.001380 0.001903 0.002601
2025-03-23 0.000240 0.000404 0.000633 0.000964 0.001417 0.002001 0.002795
2025-03-30 0.000213 0.000376 0.000612 0.000963 0.001453 0.002097 0.002987
2025-04-06 0.000187 0.000348 0.000587 0.000952 0.001475 0.002173 0.003152
2025-04-13 0.000162 0.000318 0.000558 0.000933 0.001481 0.002227 0.003289
2025-04-20 0.000151 0.000308 0.000556 0.000954 0.001544 0.002358 0.003531
2025-04-27 0.000138 0.000295 0.000550 0.000967 0.001596 0.002475 0.003755
2025-05-04 0.000121 0.000271 0.000525 0.000949 0.001603 0.002530 0.003899
2025-05-11 0.000105 0.000249 0.000500 0.000930 0.001606 0.002580 0.004036
2025-05-18 0.000096 0.000239 0.000494 0.000941 0.001655 0.002696 0.004266
2025-05-25 0.000088 0.000228 0.000486 0.000947 0.001695 0.002800 0.004482
2025-06-01 0.000075 0.000207 0.000459 0.000921 0.001684 0.002826 0.004586
2025-06-08 0.000064 0.000188 0.000433 0.000894 0.001669 0.002846 0.004681
2025-06-15 0.000058 0.000178 0.000422 0.000892 0.001694 0.002926 0.004865
2025-06-22 0.000052 0.000168 0.000412 0.000891 0.001720 0.003008 0.005051
2025-06-29 0.000046 0.000157 0.000398 0.000881 0.001731 0.003066 0.005204
2025-07-06 0.000040 0.000144 0.000380 0.000863 0.001727 0.003100 0.005320
2025-07-13 0.000037 0.000142 0.000382 0.000882 0.001786 0.003236 0.005591